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PAX AUCTION NEWS!

Despite surge in homes up for auction, values holding fairly steady, experts say
2009-06-20

Foreclosure postings continue to rise in several Central Texas counties, the latest figures show, although experts note that the numbers are inflated by a high number of repeat postings, which account for almost half the total.

They also say the sales of foreclosed homes aren't measurably affecting home values in the region, in part because they represent such a small fraction of the supply of homes for sale.

In Travis County, foreclosure postings for the July 7 auction rose 117 percent to 782, according to Foreclosure Listing Service Inc. Williamson County had 452 postings, up 111 percent.

Postings rose 104 percent in Hays County, to 143, and 72 percent in Bastrop County, to 86.

Hugh Parrish, a longtime Austin real estate broker, said numbers are high because of a backlog caused by various government and lender moratoriums and programs under which banks are modifying some loans so the homeowner can afford the payments and avoid losing the house.

Lenders have kept those postings alive to protect their right to seize the homes if something can't be worked out.

Parrish, broker/owner of Parrish and Associates Realtors, said postings for Travis County would be somewhere in the 500 to 550 range, "if there had not been the push for modifications and the push for moratoriums."

"I expect that the 700 number is probably what we're going to see through this year and into next year," he said. "I don't think it will rise substantially."

But Parrish noted that Travis' postings represent "well under 1 percent" of the total homes in Central Texas.

George Roddy Sr., president of Foreclosure Listing Service, also said that lenders are overwhelmed by rising delinquencies and requests for loan modifications, and so things are moving slowly.

So far, the sale of distressed and foreclosed properties doesn't seem to be affecting home values to any significant degree, said Jim Gaines, a research economist at the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University, although "it might be dragging it down a little bit."

Noting that Central Texas' median home sales price in May was down only 1 percent from a year ago, he said, "that's a good sign. It means the market itself is pretty strong."

Parrish, who represents Fannie Mae and other lenders in selling foreclosed homes, said such sales aren't having "a huge impact on home values at this time."

"We're not giving away these foreclosure houses. They are not for steal; they're for sale," Parrish said. "We price them at market and are selling them at market."

Parrish said that, historically, 75 percent of all loans that are modified end up back in default within a year.

"Even with a modification, a lot of these properties are still going to eventually go back into default status or be foreclosed on," Parrish said.


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